Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Charlotte @ East Carolina CLT @ ECU

CHARLOTTE

CHARLOTTECLT

1-7  |  Road

22
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:00 PM ET
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
View Odds Details →

EAST CAROLINA

EAST CAROLINAECU

5-3  |  Home

48
Key Game
Bronson Long
KEY GAME

Bronson Long

#95 | Punter
@
Tomas O'Halloran
KEY GAME

Tomas O'Halloran

#48 | Punter
Player
Bronson Long None-None
Tomas O'Halloran None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARLOTTE
100%
📊
EAST CAROLINA
0%
CHARLOTTE --
EAST CAROLINA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
EAST CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (East Carolina)
CharlotteCLT (-3.5) 0 East CarolinaECU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Charlotte Cover

0.0%

East Carolina Cover

100.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ECU -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECU)

CLT By 1-6 points

0.0%

CLT By 7-13 points

0.0%

ECU By 1-6 points

0.1%

ECU By 7-13 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
0
CHARLOTTE
48
EAST CAROLINA
Simulated Score
20
CHARLOTTE
31
EAST CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI East Carolina Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim East Carolina Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI East Carolina (-28.5) Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
C
Sim East Carolina (-28.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u56.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Sim u56.5 Loss
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 CLT @ ECU 22 - 48
Oct 5, 2024 ECU @ CLT 24 - 55
Oct 21, 2023 CLT @ ECU 10 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +107.9% more
East Carolina: 251.9 vs Charlotte: 121.2
First Downs (L5) +52.7% more
East Carolina: 25.1 vs Charlotte: 16.4
Total Yards (L5) +51.6% more
East Carolina: 514.0 vs Charlotte: 339.0
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +17.0% more
East Carolina: 0.5 vs Charlotte: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 0.0 22
ECU Score 48.0 48
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.1 / 16.4 29.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 251.9 / 121.2 183.0 / 40.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.38 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 514.0 / 339.0 407.0 / 324.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.6 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -23.4 ATS +/-: -9.7
ECU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -23.4 ATS +/-: -9.7
ECU
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +5.3
ECU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ECU
CLT
ECU
CLT
ML
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
ATS
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
TTL
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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