Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Syracuse @ Miami SYR @ MIA

SYRACUSE

SYRACUSESYR

3-6  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:30 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

MIAMIMIA

6-2  |  Home

38
Key Game
Nathan Nyandoro
KEY GAME

Nathan Nyandoro

#15 | Defensive Lineman
@
Dylan Joyce
KEY GAME

Dylan Joyce

#94 | Punter
Player
Nathan Nyandoro None-None
Dylan Joyce None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SYRACUSE
100%
📊
MIAMI
0%
SYRACUSE --
MIAMI --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Miami)
SyracuseSYR (-3.5) 0 MiamiMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Syracuse Cover

0.1%

Miami Cover

99.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MIA -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

SYR By 1-6 points

0.1%

SYR By 7-13 points

0.0%

MIA By 1-6 points

0.4%

MIA By 7-13 points

1.5%

AI Model Projected Score
0
SYRACUSE
42
MIAMI
Simulated Score
24
SYRACUSE
31
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Miami Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Miami Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Miami (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
C
Sim Miami (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 42.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 SYR @ MIA 10 - 38
Nov 30, 2024 MIA @ SYR 38 - 42
Oct 21, 2017 SYR @ MIA 19 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +40.3% more
Miami: 407.2 vs Syracuse: 290.3
First Downs (L5) +33.9% more
Miami: 21.7 vs Syracuse: 16.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +31.4% more
Miami: 154.0 vs Syracuse: 117.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Miami: 0.5 vs Syracuse: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SYR Score 0.0 10
MIA Score 42.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.7 / 16.2 20.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 154.0 / 117.2 123.0 / 161.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.22 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards 407.2 / 290.3 384.0 / 285.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.6 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
MIA Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 39.8 ATS +/-: +8.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
MIA Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 39.8 ATS +/-: +8.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.8
MIA
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
SYR
MIA
SYR
ML
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
ATS
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
75% 3-1
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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