MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
3-3 | Road
125
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
0-6 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
NETS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
MIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
18.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
23.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
121
MINNESOTA
Brooklyn
119
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Minnesota
109
MINNESOTA
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 27, 2025
BKN @ MIN
123 - 107
Nov 3, 2025
MIN @ BKN
125 - 109
Apr 11, 2025
BKN @ MIN
91 - 117
Apr 3, 2025
MIN @ BKN
105 - 90
Feb 24, 2024
BKN @ MIN
86 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.8% more
Minnesota: 15.2
vs
Brooklyn: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+17.0%
Minnesota: 47.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 30.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Minnesota: 50.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 44.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+55.5% more
Brooklyn: 10.4
vs
Minnesota: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
121.0
125
BKN Score
119.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 47.3
30.0 / 40.0
Assists
12.3 / 15.2
25.0 / 33.0
Blocks
1.7 / 1.7
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 50.2
40.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
41.9 / 40.7
66.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
22.6 / 21.3
40.0 / 53.0
Steals
5.0 / 4.1
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 6.7
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
MIN
BKN
MIN
ML
53%
50-45
54%
63-53
59%
48-34
54%
50-43
ATS
52%
48-44-3
58%
67-49
59%
48-34
54%
50-43
TTL
57%
54-41
63%
72-43-1
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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