SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
REDHAWKSSEMO
0-0 | Road
67
SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
0-0 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
BILLIKENS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
SEMO By 1-7 points
21.6%
SEMO By 8-14 points
10.7%
SLU By 1-7 points
27.2%
SLU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Southeast Missouri State
82
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Saint Louis
85
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
Southeast Missouri State
65
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Saint Louis
78
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Billikens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Billikens (+18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
SEMO @ SLU
67 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.7% more
Saint Louis: 13.5
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 11.2
Turnovers (L5)
+8.9% more
Saint Louis: 12.5
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 11.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.3%
Saint Louis: 49.0%
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 40.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Saint Louis: 35.8%
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEMO Score
82.0
67
SLU Score
85.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 31.0
31.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.5 / 11.2
10.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.5
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 40.6
49.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 75.0
81.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 32.1
54.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.9 / 8.4
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.4
15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEMO
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEMO
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -2.4
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
SEMO
SLU
SEMO
ML
70%
23-10
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
50%
15-15
ATS
73%
24-9
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
50%
15-15
TTL
61%
20-13
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
