IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
0-0 | Road
83
WASHINGTON STATE
COUGARSWSU
0-0 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
0%
COUGARS
100%
VANDALS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
IDAHO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Idaho)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IDHO -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDHO)
IDHO By 1-7 points
27.4%
IDHO By 8-14 points
21.6%
WSU By 1-7 points
20.1%
WSU By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho
85
IDAHO
Washington State
81
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
Idaho
62
IDAHO
Washington State
75
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Vandals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Vandals (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
IDHO @ WSU
83 - 81
Nov 11, 2024
IDHO @ WSU
67 - 90
Nov 6, 2023
IDHO @ WSU
59 - 84
Nov 18, 2021
WSU @ IDHO
109 - 61
Dec 9, 2020
IDHO @ WSU
58 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.4%
Idaho: 79.0%
vs
Washington State: 67.6%
Assists (L5)
+101.1% more
Washington State: 19.0
vs
Idaho: 9.5
Steals (L5)
+76.8% more
Washington State: 7.1
vs
Idaho: 4.0
Blocks (L5)
+30.2% more
Washington State: 3.7
vs
Idaho: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score
85.0
83
WSU Score
81.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 28.8
21.0 / 39.0
Assists
19.0 / 9.5
8.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 39.3
44.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
67.6 / 79.0
74.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 36.5
32.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.0
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 11.1
5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
WSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
WSU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
IDHO
WSU
IDHO
ML
78%
25-7
56%
20-16
69%
20-9
64%
21-12
ATS
78%
25-7
58%
21-15
69%
20-9
64%
21-12
TTL
62%
20-12
69%
25-11
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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