COASTAL CAROLINA
CHANTICLEERSCCU
0-0 | Road
71
WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
0-0 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
0%
BRONCOS
100%
CHANTICLEERS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)
CCU By 1-7 points
27.2%
CCU By 8-14 points
23.0%
WMU By 1-7 points
18.6%
WMU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Carolina
76
COASTAL CAROLINA
Western Michigan
71
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Coastal Carolina
75
COASTAL CAROLINA
Western Michigan
78
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Chanticleers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Chanticleers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
CCU @ WMU
71 - 76
Nov 4, 2024
WMU @ CCU
56 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.1% more
Coastal Carolina: 39.3
vs
Western Michigan: 34.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
Coastal Carolina: 73.1%
vs
Western Michigan: 62.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+8.1% more
Coastal Carolina: 11.1
vs
Western Michigan: 10.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Coastal Carolina: 34.1%
vs
Western Michigan: 30.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCU Score
76.0
71
WMU Score
71.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 34.1
27.0 / 31.0
Assists
12.6 / 11.8
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.2
0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 39.3
44.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
62.1 / 73.1
80.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 39.3
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.1 / 2.2
3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 11.1
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
Advantage
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
WMU
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WMU
CCU
WMU
CCU
ML
60%
18-12
41%
13-19
70%
21-9
55%
17-14
ATS
67%
20-10
38%
12-20
70%
21-9
55%
17-14
TTL
57%
17-13
75%
24-8
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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