Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Hilltoppers TNTC @ WKU

TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

0-0  |  Road

70
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:30 PM ET
E.A. Diddle Arena
View Odds Details →

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

0-0  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
HILLTOPPERS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
HILLTOPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Western Kentucky)
Golden EaglesTNTC (-3.5) 0 HilltoppersWKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

46.0%

Hilltoppers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WKU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)

TNTC By 1-7 points

24.3%

TNTC By 8-14 points

13.7%

WKU By 1-7 points

26.2%

WKU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
74
TENNESSEE TECH
75
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
65
TENNESSEE TECH
78
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hilltoppers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Hilltoppers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 TNTC @ WKU 70 - 82
Dec 22, 2020 TNTC @ WKU 68 - 88
Nov 5, 2019 TNTC @ WKU 64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +11.5% more
Western Kentucky: 37.9 vs Tennessee Tech: 34.0
Blocks (L5) +35.3% more
Tennessee Tech: 3.4 vs Western Kentucky: 2.2
Assists (L5) +33.8% more
Tennessee Tech: 14.5 vs Western Kentucky: 9.6
Turnovers (L5) +22.8% more
Tennessee Tech: 11.9 vs Western Kentucky: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score 74.0 70
WKU Score 75.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 22.4 / 35.0 18.0 / 32.0
Assists 9.6 / 14.5 8.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.4 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 37.6 / 42.3 42.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 71.9 80.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 34.0 42.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.6 / 7.7 13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 11.9 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
WKU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
WKU
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
TNTC
WKU
TNTC
ML
56% 18-14
50% 15-15
66% 21-11
65% 15-8
ATS
53% 17-15
50% 15-15
66% 21-11
65% 15-8
TTL
56% 18-14
57% 17-13
100% 32-0
100% 23-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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