AIR FORCE
FALCONSAF
0-0 | Road
63
BELMONT
BRUINSBEL
0-0 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
FALCONS
100%
BRUINS
0%
FALCONS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Belmont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BEL -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
AF By 1-7 points
8.0%
AF By 8-14 points
2.2%
BEL By 1-7 points
20.1%
BEL By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Air Force
56
AIR FORCE
Belmont
68
BELMONT
Simulated Score
Air Force
68
AIR FORCE
Belmont
75
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
AF @ BEL
63 - 79
Nov 15, 2024
BEL @ AF
79 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.7% more
Belmont: 3.4
vs
Air Force: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+22.5% more
Belmont: 36.0
vs
Air Force: 29.4
Steals (L5)
+18.2% more
Belmont: 7.2
vs
Air Force: 6.1
Assists (L5)
+14.4% more
Belmont: 16.3
vs
Air Force: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AF Score
56.0
63
BEL Score
68.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 29.3
27.0 / 38.0
Assists
16.3 / 14.2
16.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.4
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 39.0
47.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
65.6 / 67.5
84.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 29.4
23.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.1
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 13.4
8.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AF
3-29-0
(9.4%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AF
10-21-1
(32.3%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
AF
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
AF
BEL
AF
ML
47%
15-17
81%
26-6
62%
20-12
62%
20-12
ATS
56%
18-14
69%
22-10
62%
20-12
62%
20-12
TTL
44%
14-18
69%
22-10
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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