AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
RAMBLERS
0%
VIKINGS
--
RAMBLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)
CLE By 1-7 points
20.1%
CLE By 8-14 points
9.3%
LUC By 1-7 points
27.4%
LUC By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland State
68
CLEVELAND STATE
Loyola Chicago
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Cleveland State
65
CLEVELAND STATE
Loyola Chicago
78
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ramblers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Ramblers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
CLE @ LUC
88 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+61.0% more
Loyola Chicago: 16.3
vs
Cleveland State: 10.1
Blocks (L5)
+35.6% more
Loyola Chicago: 5.3
vs
Cleveland State: 3.9
Steals (L5)
+37.5% more
Cleveland State: 7.1
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Cleveland State: 34.1%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 30.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
68.0
88
LUC Score
72.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 34.1
38.0 / 37.0
Assists
16.3 / 10.1
21.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.3 / 3.9
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 44.5
44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 76.9
76.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 32.5
30.0 / 47.0
Steals
4.5 / 7.1
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 9.9
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +6.3
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
CLE
LUC
CLE
ML
55%
18-15
52%
17-16
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
ATS
64%
21-12
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
TTL
76%
25-8
52%
17-16
100%
32-0
100%
33-0