QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
0-0 | Road
74
ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
0-0 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
RED STORM
0%
BOBCATS
--
RED STORM
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
ST. JOHN'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (St. John's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SJU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJU)
QUIN By 1-7 points
6.8%
QUIN By 8-14 points
1.7%
SJU By 1-7 points
18.6%
SJU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
75
QUINNIPIAC
St. John's
88
ST. JOHN'S
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
65
QUINNIPIAC
St. John's
82
ST. JOHN'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Storm
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm (+26.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Red Storm (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
QUIN @ SJU
74 - 108
Nov 9, 2024
QUIN @ SJU
73 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+30.5% more
St. John's: 45.5
vs
Quinnipiac: 34.8
Blocks (L5)
+16.6% more
St. John's: 3.9
vs
Quinnipiac: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+8.4% more
St. John's: 5.8
vs
Quinnipiac: 5.4
Turnovers (L5)
+23.8% more
Quinnipiac: 11.0
vs
St. John's: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
75.0
74
SJU Score
88.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 30.2
42.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.7 / 14.3
25.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.4
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
40.2 / 43.4
57.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 82.6
65.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
45.5 / 34.8
45.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.8 / 5.4
12.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 11.0
14.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJU
QUIN
SJU
QUIN
ML
62%
18-11
66%
21-11
62%
18-11
53%
17-15
ATS
66%
19-10
59%
19-13
62%
18-11
53%
17-15
TTL
59%
17-12
62%
20-12
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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