Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Jayhawks GB @ KU

GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

0-0  |  Road

51
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Allen Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

JAYHAWKSKU

0-0  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
JAYHAWKS
0%
PHOENIX --
JAYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Kansas)
PhoenixGB (-3.5) 0 JayhawksKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

30.9%

Jayhawks Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)

GB By 1-7 points

18.6%

GB By 8-14 points

8.0%

KU By 1-7 points

27.2%

KU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
72
GREEN BAY
77
KANSAS
Simulated Score
59
GREEN BAY
88
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jayhawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jayhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jayhawks (+30.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Jayhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 GB @ KU 51 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +50.6% more
Kansas: 13.9 vs Green Bay: 9.3
Blocks (L5) +47.7% more
Kansas: 3.8 vs Green Bay: 2.6
Steals (L5) +32.7% more
Kansas: 5.3 vs Green Bay: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.6%
Kansas: 42.6% vs Green Bay: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 72.0 51
KU Score 77.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.6 / 31.0 37.0 / 26.0
Assists 17.7 / 16.4 20.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.8 / 2.6 8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 41.3 57.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 76.5 / 75.2 75.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 34.9 44.0 / 26.0
Steals 5.3 / 4.0 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 9.3 3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
KU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
KU
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
GB
KU
GB
ML
57% 20-15
48% 16-17
68% 21-10
67% 22-11
ATS
49% 17-18
52% 17-16
68% 21-10
67% 22-11
TTL
60% 21-14
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 32 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 7 hours ago
Kansas Basketball Secures Melvin Council Jr. for Unprecedented S…
realgm 3 days, 21 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days, 1 hour ago