Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Braves @ Bonnies BRAD @ SBU

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

0-0  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 11:00 AM ET
Rock Hill Sports & Event Center
View Odds Details →

ST. BONAVENTURE

BONNIESSBU

0-0  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
📊
BONNIES
100%
BRAVES --
BONNIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Bradley)
BravesBRAD (-3.5) 0 BonniesSBU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

84.1%

Bonnies Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRAD -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)

BRAD By 1-7 points

23.0%

BRAD By 8-14 points

27.2%

SBU By 1-7 points

10.7%

SBU By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
76
BRADLEY
66
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
68
BRADLEY
72
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bonnies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Braves (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Bonnies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 BRAD @ SBU 63 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.0% more
Bradley: 4.2 vs St. Bonaventure: 2.5
Assists (L5) +23.3% more
Bradley: 13.1 vs St. Bonaventure: 10.0
Turnovers (L5) +13.8% more
Bradley: 11.2 vs St. Bonaventure: 9.7
Field Goal % (L5) +10.4%
Bradley: 48.5% vs St. Bonaventure: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BRAD Score 76.0 63
SBU Score 66.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.6 / 34.7 36.0 / 27.0
Assists 10.0 / 13.1 14.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.5 / 4.2 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 38.1 / 48.5 40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 67.5 76.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 32.4 44.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.4 / 4.3 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 11.2 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
SBU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
SBU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
BRAD
SBU
BRAD
ML
59% 20-14
65% 22-12
61% 20-13
68% 23-11
ATS
50% 17-17
59% 20-14
61% 20-13
68% 23-11
TTL
38% 13-21
68% 23-11
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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