COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
6-1-4 | Road
4
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
6-1-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Carl Lindbom
#30 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.913 | -- |
| Carl Lindbom | None-None | 3.02 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.02
0.913 Ldr
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
COL By 1 goal
12.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 26, 2026
COL @ VGK
1 - 2
May 24, 2026
COL @ VGK
3 - 5
May 22, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 1
May 20, 2026
VGK @ COL
4 - 2
Apr 11, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.5% more
Vegas: 19.3
vs
Colorado: 13.6
Hits (L5)
+17.0% more
Vegas: 22.4
vs
Colorado: 19.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.2%
Vegas: 51.5%
vs
Colorado: 49.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+24.4% more
Colorado: 5.2
vs
Vegas: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.0
4
VGK Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.3 / 13.6
10.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
51.5 / 49.3
51.6 / 48.4
Hits
22.4 / 19.1
14.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
18.1 / 24.2
16.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.1 / 35.8
23.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 5.2
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
COL
VGK
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points