Home / NFL Projections NFL / Vikings @ Lions MIN @ DET

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

3-4  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Nov 2 • 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

LIONSDET

5-2  |  Home

24
Key Game
Will Reichard
KEY GAME

Will Reichard

#16 | Place kicker
@
Nick Whiteside
KEY GAME

Nick Whiteside

#38 | Cornerback
Player
Will Reichard None-None
Nick Whiteside None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
VIKINGS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
54.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Detroit)
VikingsMIN (-3.5) 0 LionsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

15.9%

Lions Cover

84.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DET -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

MIN By 1-6 points

7.9%

MIN By 7-13 points

4.7%

DET By 1-6 points

12.9%

DET By 7-13 points

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
20
MINNESOTA
34
DETROIT
Simulated Score
21
MINNESOTA
24
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (-9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o47.5 Win
Proj Total: 54.0
D
Sim u47.5 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 25, 2025 DET @ MIN 10 - 23
Nov 2, 2025 MIN @ DET 27 - 24
Jan 5, 2025 MIN @ DET 9 - 31
Oct 20, 2024 DET @ MIN 31 - 29
Jan 7, 2024 MIN @ DET 20 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +80.9% more
Detroit: 138.3 vs Minnesota: 76.4
Total Yards (L5) +25.0% more
Detroit: 358.4 vs Minnesota: 286.8
Yards Per Play (L5) +21.5% more
Detroit: 5.9 vs Minnesota: 4.8
First Downs (L5) +11.5% more
Detroit: 19.4 vs Minnesota: 17.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 20.0 27
DET Score 34.0 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.4 / 17.4 15.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards 220.2 / 210.4 240.0 / 116.0
Rushing Yards 138.3 / 76.4 65.0 / 142.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.29 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 358.4 / 286.8 305.0 / 258.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.5 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.9 / 4.8 4.9 / 4.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
DET
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
DET
0-3-1 (0.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
DET
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +10.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
67% 2-1-1
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Giants' JJ McCarthy Earns Top Marks from Matt Nagy Ahead of Poss…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Colorado Buffaloes' NFL Draft Hopes Dim for Five Players Amid Th…
si 9 hours, 48 minutes ago
Ronald Acuña Jr. Gets Emotional After Braves' Postseason Exit, E…
ajc 21 hours, 46 minutes ago
CeeDee Lamb's Record-Setting Day Sparks Cowboys' Offensive Surge
yardbarker 22 hours, 4 minutes ago
Buccaneers Safety Antoine Winfield Sidelined, Adding to Tampa Ba…
yardbarker 22 hours, 4 minutes ago