TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
5-4-1 | Road
3
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
5-4-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kirill Marchenko
#86 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Marchenko | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.00 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
TOR By 1 goal
0.9%
TOR By 2-3 goals
0.3%
CBJ By 1 goal
6.6%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
1
TORONTO
Columbus
5
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Toronto
2
TORONTO
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
TOR @ CBJ
2 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
3 - 2
Oct 29, 2025
TOR @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 5, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
0 - 5
Jan 22, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+28.0%
Columbus: 43.9%
vs
Toronto: 15.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.8% more
Columbus: 36.3
vs
Toronto: 30.6
Takeaways (L5)
+8.3% more
Columbus: 5.9
vs
Toronto: 5.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.5% more
Toronto: 15.6
vs
Columbus: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
1.0
3
CBJ Score
5.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 15.6
19.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
50.8 / 56.1
57.6 / 42.4
Hits
24.0 / 23.0
7.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
4394.0 / 1592.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
36.3 / 30.6
24.0 / 36.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 5.4
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
TOR
CBJ
TOR
ML
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
1-1
0%
0-4
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
1-1
100%
4-0
0%
0-2
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Nashville Predators' Early Season: Three Burning Questions After…
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…