Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Bucks NY @ MIL

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

2-1  |  Road

111
FINAL
Tue, Oct 28 • 8:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

2-1  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
BUCKS
0%
KNICKS --
BUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Milwaukee)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 BucksMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

30.9%

Bucks Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

NY By 1-7 points

18.6%

NY By 8-14 points

8.0%

MIL By 1-7 points

27.2%

MIL By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
106
NEW YORK
111
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
112
NEW YORK
115
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bucks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bucks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bucks (+2) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Bucks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u229.5 Loss
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 NY @ MIL 127 - 98
Nov 28, 2025 MIL @ NY 109 - 118
Oct 28, 2025 NY @ MIL 111 - 121
Mar 28, 2025 NY @ MIL 116 - 107
Jan 12, 2025 MIL @ NY 106 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +19.4% more
Milwaukee: 3.1 vs New York: 2.6
Assists (L5) +17.9% more
Milwaukee: 17.5 vs New York: 14.9
Field Goal % (L5) +8.5%
Milwaukee: 50.2% vs New York: 41.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Milwaukee: 39.7% vs New York: 34.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 106.0 111
MIL Score 111.0 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.7 / 34.0 40.9 / 35.0
Assists 17.5 / 14.9 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.6 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 41.7 51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 4559.0 / 5367.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 30.5 / 31.9 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 5.6 / 5.2 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 11.2 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
MIL
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
NY
MIL
NY
ML
64% 61-35
61% 114-72
60% 49-32
56% 57-45
ATS
68% 65-31
67% 124-62
60% 49-32
56% 57-45
TTL
55% 53-43
72% 133-53
100% 81-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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