PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
7-2-1 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
4-3-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 1.85 | 0.941 | -- |
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.85
GAA
--
0.941
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
FLYERS
0%
PENGUINS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 30, 2026
PIT @ PHI
7 - 0
Apr 29, 2026
PIT @ PHI
0 - 1
Apr 27, 2026
PHI @ PIT
2 - 3
Apr 25, 2026
PIT @ PHI
4 - 2
Apr 22, 2026
PIT @ PHI
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+67.5% more
Philadelphia: 24.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.0%
Philadelphia: 52.3%
vs
Pittsburgh: 50.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.7% more
Pittsburgh: 18.5
vs
Philadelphia: 15.0
Power Play % (L5)
+9.4%
Pittsburgh: 29.1%
vs
Philadelphia: 19.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.0
2
PHI Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.0 / 18.5
14.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
52.3 / 50.4
51.8 / 48.2
Hits
24.1 / 14.4
20.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
19.7 / 29.1
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.8 / 25.8
34.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.3
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
PIT
PHI
PIT
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
TTL
20%
1-4
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
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