VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
5-1-3 | Road
6
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
6-2-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
VGK By 1 goal
12.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
CAR @ VGK
3 - 0
Jun 11, 2026
VGK @ CAR
2 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
CAR @ VGK
5 - 3
Jun 6, 2026
CAR @ VGK
4 - 5
Jun 4, 2026
VGK @ CAR
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+34.5% more
Carolina: 31.2
vs
Vegas: 23.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+38.7% more
Vegas: 21.0
vs
Carolina: 12.9
Power Play % (L5)
+11.1%
Vegas: 14.7%
vs
Carolina: 3.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.7%
Vegas: 53.0%
vs
Carolina: 50.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
6
CAR Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.9 / 21.0
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
50.3 / 53.0
51.4 / 48.6
Hits
22.1 / 22.5
17.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
3.5 / 14.7
100.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
31.2 / 23.2
24.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 3.4
8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
VGK
CAR
VGK
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-5
25%
1-3
20%
1-4
50%
2-2
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