UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
8-2-0 | Road
3
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
4-4-2 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 5.09 | 0.783 | -- |
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.09
GAA
--
0.783
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
0%
OILERS
100%
MAMMOTH
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Utah
4
UTAH
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
EDM @ UTA
5 - 6
Mar 24, 2026
EDM @ UTA
5 - 2
Oct 28, 2025
UTA @ EDM
3 - 6
Mar 18, 2025
UTA @ EDM
1 - 7
Dec 31, 2024
UTA @ EDM
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.6% more
Utah: 32.5
vs
Edmonton: 29.0
Power Play % (L5)
+4.1%
Utah: 46.2%
vs
Edmonton: 42.2%
Hits (L5)
+18.7% more
Edmonton: 17.3
vs
Utah: 14.6
Takeaways (L5)
+9.0% more
Edmonton: 4.2
vs
Utah: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
3
EDM Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 15.5
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
48.9 / 47.6
57.7 / 42.3
Hits
17.3 / 14.6
19.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
4217.0 / 4623.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.0 / 32.5
24.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 3.9
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
UTA
EDM
UTA
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
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