MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

7-3-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Oct 28 • 10:30 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

5-2-2  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
@
Joey Daccord
GOALTENDER

Joey Daccord

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jakub Dobes None-None 2.96 0.857 --
Joey Daccord None-None 4.02 0.810 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.96 Ldr GAA 4.02
0.857 Ldr Save % 0.810
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
📊
KRAKEN
100%
CANADIENS --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Kraken Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SEA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

SEA By 1 goal

12.1%

SEA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MONTREAL
2
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
MONTREAL
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canadiens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kraken (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Kraken (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 28, 2025 MTL @ SEA 4 - 3
Oct 14, 2025 SEA @ MTL 4 - 5
Mar 12, 2025 MTL @ SEA 4 - 5
Oct 29, 2024 SEA @ MTL 8 - 2
Mar 24, 2024 MTL @ SEA 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +23.7%
Montreal: 31.7% vs Seattle: 8.0%
Hits (L5) +8.1% more
Montreal: 17.2 vs Seattle: 15.8
Faceoff % (L5) +4.9%
Montreal: 51.6% vs Seattle: 46.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 3.0 4
SEA Score 2.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.4 / 17.8 9.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 46.7 / 51.6 38.8 / 61.2
Hits 15.8 / 17.2 22.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 8.0 / 31.7 25.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 24.5 / 26.3 21.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 4.1 / 4.0 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
94%MONEY6%