Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Washington St @ Oregon St WSU @ ORST

WASHINGTON STATE

WASHINGTON STWSU

4-4  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 7:30 PM ET
Reser Stadium
View Odds Details →

OREGON STATE

OREGON STORST

1-7  |  Home

10
Key Game
Jalil Tucker
KEY GAME

Jalil Tucker

#22 | Cornerback
@
Caleb Ojeda
KEY GAME

Caleb Ojeda

#28 | Place kicker
Player
Jalil Tucker None-None
Caleb Ojeda None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WASHINGTON ST
100%
📊
OREGON ST
0%
WASHINGTON ST --
OREGON ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
38.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
OREGON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Oregon State)
Washington StWSU (-3.5) 0 Oregon StORST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Washington St Cover

23.8%

Oregon St Cover

76.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ORST -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORST)

WSU By 1-6 points

10.7%

WSU By 7-13 points

7.3%

ORST By 1-6 points

15.3%

ORST By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
14
WASHINGTON STATE
24
OREGON STATE
Simulated Score
24
WASHINGTON STATE
27
OREGON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oregon St Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Oregon St Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oregon St (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Sim Oregon St (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u47.5 Win
Proj Total: 38.0
C
Sim o47.5 Loss
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 ORST @ WSU 8 - 32
Nov 1, 2025 WSU @ ORST 7 - 10
Nov 23, 2024 WSU @ ORST 38 - 41
Sep 23, 2023 ORST @ WSU 35 - 38
Oct 15, 2022 WSU @ ORST 10 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +51.3% more
Oregon State: 200.0 vs Washington State: 132.2
Total Yards (L5) +23.9% more
Oregon State: 405.2 vs Washington State: 327.1
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Oregon State: 1.9 vs Washington State: 1.6
First Downs (L5) +13.1% more
Oregon State: 22.0 vs Washington State: 19.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 14.0 7
ORST Score 24.0 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.0 / 19.4 15.0 / 16.0
Rushing Yards 200.0 / 132.2 124.0 / 125.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.08 / 0.15
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 405.2 / 327.1 184.0 / 271.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 1.6 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
ORST Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.4 ATS +/-: +15.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
ORST Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 13.4 ATS +/-: +15.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
ORST
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORST
WSU
ORST
WSU
ML
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
ATS
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
TTL
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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