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USC

USCUSC

5-2  |  Road

21
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 7:30 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
View Odds Details →

NEBRASKA

NEBRASKANEB

6-2  |  Home

17
Key Game
Ryon Sayeri
KEY GAME

Ryon Sayeri

#48 | Punter
@
Kyle Cunanan
KEY GAME

Kyle Cunanan

#91 | Place kicker
Player
Ryon Sayeri None-None
Kyle Cunanan None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
USC
0%
📊
NEBRASKA
100%
USC --
NEBRASKA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
USC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (USC)
USCUSC (-3.5) 0 NebraskaNEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

USC Cover

88.8%

Nebraska Cover

11.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around USC -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USC)

USC By 1-6 points

10.7%

USC By 7-13 points

17.5%

NEB By 1-6 points

5.9%

NEB By 7-13 points

3.2%

AI Model Projected Score
31
USC
14
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
24
USC
38
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI USC Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Nebraska Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI USC (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
C
Sim Nebraska (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u59.5 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Sim o59.5 Loss
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2025 USC @ NEB 21 - 17
Nov 16, 2024 NEB @ USC 20 - 28
Dec 27, 2014 NEB @ USC 42 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.0% more
USC: 2.0 vs Nebraska: 1.4
Total Yards (L5) +30.3% more
USC: 471.5 vs Nebraska: 328.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +24.6% more
USC: 159.8 vs Nebraska: 120.4
First Downs (L5) +24.3% more
USC: 24.8 vs Nebraska: 18.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USC Score 31.0 21
NEB Score 14.0 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.8 / 24.8 20.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 120.4 / 159.8 188.0 / 202.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.43
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 328.5 / 471.5 286.0 / 337.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 2.0 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USC
5-1-0 (83.3%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: -7.3
NEB Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 29.4 ATS +/-: +8.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USC
1-5-0 (16.7%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: -7.3
NEB Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 29.4 ATS +/-: +8.8
⚖️ Over/Under
USC
4-2-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.7
NEB
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
USC
NEB
USC
ML
100% 5-0
100% 6-0
80% 4-1
83% 5-1
ATS
20% 1-4
67% 4-2
40% 2-3
67% 4-2
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 3-3
60% 3-2
50% 3-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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