Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech SHSU @ LT

SAM HOUSTON

SAM HOUSTONSHSU

0-7  |  Road

14
FINAL
Fri, Oct 31 • 8:00 PM ET
Joe Aillet Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

LOUISIANA TECHLT

4-3  |  Home

55
Key Game
Tim Burns Jr.
KEY GAME

Tim Burns Jr.

#3 | Wide Receiver
@
Dedrick Latulas
KEY GAME

Dedrick Latulas

#3 | Wide Receiver
Player
Tim Burns Jr. None-None
Dedrick Latulas None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SAM HOUSTON
100%
📊
LOUISIANA TECH
0%
SAM HOUSTON --
LOUISIANA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
40.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
Sam HoustonSHSU (-3.5) 0 Louisiana TechLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sam Houston Cover

0.2%

Louisiana Tech Cover

99.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LT -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

SHSU By 1-6 points

0.1%

SHSU By 7-13 points

0.0%

LT By 1-6 points

0.6%

LT By 7-13 points

2.1%

AI Model Projected Score
0
SAM HOUSTON
40
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
24
SAM HOUSTON
31
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Louisiana Tech Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Louisiana Tech Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Louisiana Tech (-16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
B
Sim Louisiana Tech (-16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 40.0
B
Sim o48.5 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 31, 2025 SHSU @ LT 14 - 55
Oct 29, 2024 LT @ SHSU 3 - 9
Nov 11, 2023 SHSU @ LT 42 - 27
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +20.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 20.3 vs Sam Houston: 16.9
Turnovers (L5) +16.3% more
Louisiana Tech: 1.5 vs Sam Houston: 1.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +14.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 0.4 vs Sam Houston: 0.3
Total Yards (L5) +13.5% more
Louisiana Tech: 355.2 vs Sam Houston: 312.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHSU Score 0.0 14
LT Score 40.0 55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.3 / 16.9 29.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 126.9 / 123.2 426.0 / 296.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.67 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 355.2 / 312.9 647.0 / 503.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.3 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHSU
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: +14.1
LT Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHSU
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: +14.1
LT Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SHSU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
LT
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +13.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
SHSU
LT
SHSU
ML
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
ATS
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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