AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
SPURS
0%
NETS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
BKN By 1-7 points
1.4%
BKN By 8-14 points
0.2%
SA By 1-7 points
6.8%
SA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
113
BROOKLYN
San Antonio
134
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
108
BROOKLYN
San Antonio
115
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (-11)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 247.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
SA @ BKN
126 - 110
Oct 26, 2025
BKN @ SA
107 - 118
Mar 4, 2025
BKN @ SA
113 - 127
Dec 27, 2024
SA @ BKN
96 - 87
Mar 17, 2024
BKN @ SA
115 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+274.9% more
San Antonio: 6.9
vs
Brooklyn: 1.8
Rebounding (L5)
+27.8% more
San Antonio: 51.2
vs
Brooklyn: 40.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
San Antonio: 49.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 47.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+17.6% more
Brooklyn: 20.6
vs
San Antonio: 16.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
113.0
107
SA Score
134.0
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 39.8
40.0 / 35.0
Assists
26.0 / 26.8
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
6.9 / 1.8
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 47.4
57.5 / 44.3
Free Throw %
6956.0 / 8237.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
51.2 / 40.1
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
8.9 / 8.2
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
16.9 / 20.6
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
BKN
SA
BKN
ML
60%
111-73
53%
50-45
58%
61-44
59%
48-34
ATS
58%
107-76-1
52%
48-44-3
58%
61-44
59%
48-34
TTL
74%
134-47-3
57%
54-41
100%
105-0
100%
82-0