Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bucks @ Cavaliers MIL @ CLE

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

2-0  |  Road

113
FINAL
Sun, Oct 26 • 6:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

1-1  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
BUCKS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Cleveland)
BucksMIL (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bucks Cover

0.1%

Cavaliers Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

MIL By 1-7 points

0.1%

MIL By 8-14 points

0.0%

CLE By 1-7 points

1.1%

CLE By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
93
MILWAUKEE
123
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
108
MILWAUKEE
112
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Sim u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 CLE @ MIL 123 - 116
Feb 25, 2026 CLE @ MIL 116 - 118
Nov 17, 2025 MIL @ CLE 106 - 118
Oct 26, 2025 MIL @ CLE 113 - 118
Mar 9, 2025 CLE @ MIL 112 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.4% more
Cleveland: 12.0 vs Milwaukee: 8.3
Blocks (L5) +20.6% more
Cleveland: 5.6 vs Milwaukee: 4.6
Turnovers (L5) +8.3% more
Cleveland: 16.8 vs Milwaukee: 15.5
Free Throw % (L5) +2.2%
Cleveland: 70.6% vs Milwaukee: 68.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 93.0 113
CLE Score 123.0 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 39.1 41.3 / 40.9
Assists 27.1 / 26.3 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 5.6 / 4.6 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 49.8 46.5 / 51.0
Free Throw % 7057.0 / 6839.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 45.7 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 12.0 / 8.3 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 16.8 / 15.5 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIL
CLE
MIL
ML
60% 69-46
64% 61-35
56% 55-44
60% 49-32
ATS
67% 75-37-3
68% 65-31
56% 55-44
60% 49-32
TTL
59% 68-47
55% 53-43
100% 99-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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