NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
4-3-0 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
3-3-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.77 | 0.885 | -- |
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77
GAA
--
0.885
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
FLYERS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
PHI @ NYI
4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026
NYI @ PHI
4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025
PHI @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
NYI @ PHI
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
NYI @ PHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.1% more
New York: 18.7
vs
Philadelphia: 14.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.4% more
New York: 29.0
vs
Philadelphia: 22.8
Takeaways (L5)
+12.4% more
New York: 4.2
vs
Philadelphia: 3.7
Power Play % (L5)
+7.0%
New York: 19.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 12.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
3
PHI Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 18.7
16.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
53.9 / 48.9
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
21.1 / 19.1
30.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
12.9 / 19.8
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.8 / 29.0
26.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 4.2
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYI
PHI
NYI
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
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