WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
5-2-0 | Road
5
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
3-3-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.971 | -- |
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 5.03 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
5.03
0.971 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
100%
CAPITALS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
WSH By 1 goal
19.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CBJ By 1 goal
12.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
WSH @ CBJ
2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025
WSH @ CBJ
5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.9% more
Washington: 33.3
vs
Columbus: 30.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.5% more
Columbus: 12.8
vs
Washington: 11.6
Power Play % (L5)
+7.2%
Columbus: 35.8%
vs
Washington: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.0
5
CBJ Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 11.6
7.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
49.5 / 48.9
46.8 / 53.2
Hits
24.7 / 23.1
25.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
35.8 / 28.6
0.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
30.3 / 33.3
35.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.3
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
WSH
ML
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
33%
1-2
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