Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Blue Jays LAD @ TOR

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Oct 24 • 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Centre
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

BLUE JAYSTOR

0-0  |  Home

11
Probable Pitchers
Eric Lauer
STARTING PITCHER

Eric Lauer

#33 | SP
@
Braydon Fisher
STARTING PITCHER

Braydon Fisher

#63 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Eric Lauer None-None 6.75 -- 1.0 1
Braydon Fisher None-None 9.64 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
6.75 Ldr ERA 9.64
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
50%
📊
BLUE JAYS
50%
DODGERS --
BLUE JAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 Blue JaysTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

67.1%

Blue Jays Cover

32.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.0%

TOR By 1-2 runs

14.2%

TOR By 3-4 runs

8.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6.5
LOS ANGELES
4.73
TORONTO
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.8
D
Sim Blue Jays (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.2
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 LAD @ TOR 3 - 4
Apr 7, 2026 LAD @ TOR 4 - 1
Apr 6, 2026 LAD @ TOR 14 - 2
Nov 1, 2025 LAD @ TOR 5 - 4
Oct 31, 2025 LAD @ TOR 3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Toronto TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.762 ▲
OPS
.692
204 ▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +49.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.6 vs Toronto: 0.1
Home Runs (Season) +25.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Toronto: 152.0
Runs per Game (Season) +19.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Toronto: 4.0
OPS (Season) +7.0%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Toronto: 69.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 6.5 4
TOR Score 4.7 11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.6 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.1 / 8.0 14.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.5 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.7 / 10.5 13.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 16.6 / 14.4 23.0 / 9.0
Walks 4.3 / 3.3 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
TOR
79-83-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
TOR Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
LAD
TOR
LAD
ML
46% 74-87
56% 92-73
50% 80-80
48% 79-87
ATS
56% 90-71
59% 98-67
49% 79-81
43% 72-94
TTL
51% 80-76-5
48% 77-82-6
45% 70-85-5
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 1 hour, 45 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 7 hours, 35 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 13 hours, 41 minutes ago
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
newsweek 19 hours, 22 minutes ago
Rays Sweep Yankees as Fan Interference Call Erases Volpe's Would…
kesq 19 hours, 43 minutes ago