NEW YORK
GIANTSNYG
2-5 | Road
20
PHILADELPHIA
EAGLESPHI
5-2 | Home
38
Key Game
KEY GAME
Gunner Olszewski
#80 | Wide Receiver@
KEY GAME
Braden Mann
#10 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Gunner Olszewski | None-None |
| Braden Mann | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
EAGLES
0%
GIANTS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
54.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
NYG By 1-6 points
5.3%
NYG By 7-13 points
2.8%
PHI By 1-6 points
10.0%
PHI By 7-13 points
16.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
18
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
36
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New York
20
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (-7)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o44.5
Win
Proj Total: 54.0
D
Sim
u44.5
Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 26, 2025
NYG @ PHI
20 - 38
Oct 9, 2025
PHI @ NYG
17 - 34
Jan 5, 2025
NYG @ PHI
13 - 20
Oct 20, 2024
PHI @ NYG
28 - 3
Jan 7, 2024
PHI @ NYG
10 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+14.2% more
Philadelphia: 245.9
vs
New York: 215.2
Yards Per Play (L5)
+13.7% more
Philadelphia: 5.9
vs
New York: 5.2
Turnovers (L5)
+59.1% more
New York: 1.3
vs
Philadelphia: 0.5
Rushing Yards (L5)
+45.3% more
New York: 133.4
vs
Philadelphia: 72.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYG Score
18.0
20
PHI Score
36.0
38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
16.5 / 23.2
23.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards
245.9 / 215.2
151.0 / 178.0
Rushing Yards
72.9 / 133.4
276.0 / 68.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.4
0.25 / 0.42
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards
318.8 / 348.6
427.0 / 246.0
Turnovers
0.5 / 1.3
0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
5.9 / 5.2
7.5 / 4.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
PHI
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
PHI
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.8
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYG
PHI
NYG
ML
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
ATS
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
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