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LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

1-3-2  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Oct 21 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

3-2-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Darcy Kuemper None-None 0.97 0.944 --
Jordan Binnington None-None 1.94 0.929 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.97 Ldr GAA 1.94
0.944 Ldr Save % 0.929
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
KINGS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (St. Louis)
KingsLA (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

6.7%

Blues Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

LA By 1 goal

2.8%

LA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

STL By 1 goal

12.1%

STL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
0
LOS ANGELES
3
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
LOS ANGELES
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 STL @ LA 1 - 2
Jan 24, 2026 LA @ STL 5 - 4
Oct 21, 2025 LA @ STL 2 - 1
Mar 8, 2025 STL @ LA 1 - 2
Mar 5, 2025 STL @ LA 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +23.9% more
St. Louis: 5.4 vs Los Angeles: 4.4
Power Play % (L5) +40.6%
Los Angeles: 48.2% vs St. Louis: 7.6%
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.5% more
Los Angeles: 29.8 vs St. Louis: 26.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 0.0 2
STL Score 3.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.5 / 14.6 9.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 48.8 / 48.2 53.4 / 46.6
Hits 27.9 / 26.1 20.0 / 13.0
Power Play % 7.6 / 48.2 33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 26.3 / 29.8 18.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 5.4 / 4.4 3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
LA
STL
LA
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-3
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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