TEMPLE
TEMPLETEM
4-3 | Road
38
TULSA
TULSATLSA
2-5 | Home
37
Key Game
KEY GAME
Dante Atton
#7 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Kelvin Washington
#22 | Running Back| Player | |
|---|---|
| Dante Atton | None-None |
| Kelvin Washington | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TEMPLE
0%
TULSA
100%
TEMPLE
--
TULSA
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
62.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TEM -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
TEM By 1-6 points
3.8%
TEM By 7-13 points
8.8%
TLSA By 1-6 points
1.4%
TLSA By 7-13 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Temple
45
TEMPLE
Tulsa
17
TULSA
Simulated Score
Temple
17
TEMPLE
Tulsa
28
TULSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Temple
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tulsa
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Temple (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Sim
Tulsa (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 25, 2025
TEM @ TLSA
38 - 37
Oct 19, 2024
TLSA @ TEM
10 - 20
Sep 28, 2023
TEM @ TLSA
26 - 48
Oct 21, 2022
TLSA @ TEM
27 - 16
Nov 20, 2021
TEM @ TLSA
10 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+19.3% more
Temple: 160.1
vs
Tulsa: 129.2
Turnovers (L5)
+139.0% more
Tulsa: 1.7
vs
Temple: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEM Score
45.0
38
TLSA Score
17.0
37
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.2 / 19.4
25.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards
129.2 / 160.1
140.0 / 180.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.4
0.44 / 0.25
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards
354.9 / 384.9
436.0 / 447.0
Turnovers
1.7 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: +5.8
TLSA
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
Advantage
4-0-1
(100.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: +5.8
TLSA
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
TLSA
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TLSA
TEM
TLSA
TEM
ML
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
100%
5-0
80%
4-1
ATS
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
20%
1-4
40%
2-3
TTL
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
20%
1-4
Contextual Game News
Rodriguez: Roster Turnover Slowing WVU's Progress
Week 6 College Football: Five Must-Watch Matchups Set to Shake U…
USC Football Cranks Up Volume to Simulate Penn State's White Out
2027 NFL Draft QB Rankings Shake Up After Week 5: Arch Manning S…
Texas Tech QB Thomas Castellanos to Attend Colorado Game in Stre…