Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Wisconsin @ Oregon WIS @ ORE

WISCONSIN

WISCONSINWIS

2-5  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Oct 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Autzen Stadium
View Odds Details →

OREGON

OREGONORE

6-1  |  Home

21
Key Game
Thomas Heiberger
KEY GAME

Thomas Heiberger

#19 | Linebacker
@
Na'eem Offord
KEY GAME

Na'eem Offord

#2 | Defensive Back
Player
Thomas Heiberger None-None
Na'eem Offord None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WISCONSIN
100%
📊
OREGON
0%
WISCONSIN --
OREGON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
80.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-66.0
OREGON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +66.0 points (Oregon)
WisconsinWIS (-3.5) 0 OregonORE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wisconsin Cover

0.0%

Oregon Cover

100.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ORE -66.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORE)

WIS By 1-6 points

0.0%

WIS By 7-13 points

0.0%

ORE By 1-6 points

0.0%

ORE By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
7
WISCONSIN
73
OREGON
Simulated Score
27
WISCONSIN
31
OREGON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oregon Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Oregon Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oregon (-31.5) Win
Proj Spread: -66.0
C
Sim Oregon (-31.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o44.5 Loss
Proj Total: 80.0
C
Sim o44.5 Loss
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2025 WIS @ ORE 7 - 21
Nov 16, 2024 ORE @ WIS 16 - 13
Jan 1, 2020 ORE @ WIS 28 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +148.0% more
Oregon: 249.5 vs Wisconsin: 100.6
Total Yards (L5) +135.4% more
Oregon: 519.6 vs Wisconsin: 220.7
First Downs (L5) +77.0% more
Oregon: 23.1 vs Wisconsin: 13.1
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +20.0% more
Oregon: 0.5 vs Wisconsin: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIS Score 7.0 7
ORE Score 73.0 21
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.1 / 13.1 18.0 / 11.0
Rushing Yards 249.5 / 100.6 203.0 / 110.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.53 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards 519.6 / 220.7 335.0 / 196.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.6 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIS Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 15.0 ATS +/-: +6.2
ORE
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 24.3 ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIS Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 15.0 ATS +/-: +6.2
ORE
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 24.3 ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WIS
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +2.3
ORE
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +10.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORE
WIS
ORE
WIS
ML
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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