Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kennesaw St @ FIU KENN @ FIU

KENNESAW STATE

KENNESAW STKENN

4-2  |  Road

45
FINAL
Tue, Oct 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Pitbull Stadium
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

FIUFIU

3-3  |  Home

26
Key Game
Marcus Patterson
KEY GAME

Marcus Patterson

#6 | Defensive Lineman
@
Dante Anderson
KEY GAME

Dante Anderson

#13 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Marcus Patterson None-None
Dante Anderson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENNESAW ST
100%
📊
FIU
0%
KENNESAW ST --
FIU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Florida International)
Kennesaw StKENN (-3.5) 0 FIUFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kennesaw St Cover

30.9%

FIU Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around FIU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

KENN By 1-6 points

12.9%

KENN By 7-13 points

9.6%

FIU By 1-6 points

16.5%

FIU By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
39
KENNESAW STATE
46
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
20
KENNESAW STATE
27
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI FIU Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim FIU Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI FIU (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Sim FIU (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o48.5 Win
Proj Total: 85.0
B
Sim u48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 21, 2025 KENN @ FIU 45 - 26
Nov 23, 2024 FIU @ KENN 26 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +78.0% more
Florida International: 1.8 vs Kennesaw State: 1.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +36.1% more
Florida International: 189.8 vs Kennesaw State: 139.4
Time of Possession (L5) +8.0% more
Florida International: 0.5 vs Kennesaw State: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 39.0 45
FIU Score 46.0 26
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.6 / 19.9 23.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 189.8 / 139.4 222.0 / 214.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 387.4 / 370.6 518.0 / 498.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
FIU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
FIU
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
FIU
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -22.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
KENN
FIU
KENN
ML
100% 5-0
25% 1-3
100% 5-0
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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