SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
3-0-2 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
2-2-1 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.03 | 0.913 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
2.03
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.913
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
0%
FLYERS
100%
KRAKEN
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SEA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1 goal
17.5%
SEA By 2-3 goals
37.2%
PHI By 1 goal
6.6%
PHI By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Philadelphia
1
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kraken
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kraken (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 28, 2025
PHI @ SEA
1 - 4
Oct 20, 2025
SEA @ PHI
2 - 5
Mar 8, 2025
SEA @ PHI
4 - 1
Oct 17, 2024
PHI @ SEA
4 - 6
Feb 10, 2024
SEA @ PHI
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+32.3% more
Seattle: 5.6
vs
Philadelphia: 3.8
Power Play % (L5)
+28.0%
Seattle: 31.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 3.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.2% more
Seattle: 28.1
vs
Philadelphia: 20.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.3% more
Seattle: 20.4
vs
Philadelphia: 15.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.0
2
PHI Score
1.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 20.4
11.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
51.0 / 44.1
57.1 / 42.9
Hits
21.8 / 27.3
20.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
3.9 / 31.9
50.0 / 16.7
Shots on Goal
20.5 / 28.1
27.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 5.6
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
SEA
PHI
SEA
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
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