MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
2-3-0 | Road
1
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
1-2-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 1.92 | 0.905 | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 0.96 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.92
GAA
Ldr 0.96
0.905
Save %
Ldr 0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
FLYERS
100%
WILD
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
PHI @ MIN
3 - 2
Oct 18, 2025
MIN @ PHI
1 - 2
Dec 14, 2024
PHI @ MIN
1 - 4
Oct 26, 2024
MIN @ PHI
5 - 7
Jan 12, 2024
PHI @ MIN
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.6% more
Minnesota: 27.1
vs
Philadelphia: 20.2
Power Play % (L5)
+23.5%
Minnesota: 29.4%
vs
Philadelphia: 5.9%
Hits (L5)
+20.2% more
Minnesota: 20.9
vs
Philadelphia: 16.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.2%
Philadelphia: 50.9%
vs
Minnesota: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
1
PHI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 16.0
16.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
50.9 / 48.6
51.1 / 48.9
Hits
16.6 / 20.9
32.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
590.0 / 2944.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
20.2 / 27.1
21.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 3.6
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIN
PHI
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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