SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
2-0-2 | Road
4
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
3-2-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 2.85 | 0.900 | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 3.80 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.85 Ldr
GAA
3.80
0.900 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
KRAKEN
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
SEA By 1 goal
12.1%
SEA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
TOR By 1 goal
19.7%
TOR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
TOR @ SEA
2 - 5
Oct 18, 2025
SEA @ TOR
4 - 3
Feb 6, 2025
TOR @ SEA
3 - 1
Oct 31, 2024
SEA @ TOR
1 - 4
Jan 21, 2024
TOR @ SEA
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.3%
Toronto: 52.3%
vs
Seattle: 47.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+30.5% more
Seattle: 4.9
vs
Toronto: 3.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.5% more
Seattle: 21.1
vs
Toronto: 15.8
Hits (L5)
+20.8% more
Seattle: 28.0
vs
Toronto: 22.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.0
4
TOR Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 21.1
15.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
52.3 / 47.0
61.8 / 38.2
Hits
22.2 / 28.0
29.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
17.0 / 22.8
25.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
27.5 / 28.1
30.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 4.9
2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
SEA
TOR
SEA
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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