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SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

0-1-2  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Oct 17 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

2-2-0  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
@
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 6.00 0.824 --
Karel Vejmelka None-None 3.00 0.857 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.00 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.824 Save % Ldr 0.857
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
MAMMOTH
0%
SHARKS --
MAMMOTH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Utah)
SharksSJ (-3.5) 0 MammothUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

6.7%

Mammoth Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)

SJ By 1 goal

2.8%

SJ By 2-3 goals

1.2%

UTA By 1 goal

12.1%

UTA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
SAN JOSE
4
UTAH
Simulated Score
2
SAN JOSE
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mammoth Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mammoth (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Mammoth (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 UTA @ SJ 3 - 6
Nov 18, 2025 UTA @ SJ 2 - 3
Oct 17, 2025 SJ @ UTA 3 - 6
Jan 10, 2025 SJ @ UTA 1 - 2
Dec 14, 2024 UTA @ SJ 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +35.7% more
Utah: 28.4 vs San Jose: 20.9
Takeaways (L5) +39.3% more
San Jose: 3.9 vs Utah: 2.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +15.1% more
San Jose: 16.4 vs Utah: 13.9
Power Play % (L5) +10.4%
San Jose: 20.8% vs Utah: 10.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 1.0 3
UTA Score 4.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.9 / 16.4 8.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 45.6 / 48.0 51.0 / 49.0
Hits 20.2 / 20.9 14.0 / 25.0
Power Play % 10.4 / 20.8 25.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 28.4 / 20.9 34.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 2.4 / 3.9 4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
60%MONEY40%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
SJ
UTA
SJ
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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