SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
2-0-1 | Road
3
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
1-3-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 2.77 | 0.870 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.78 | 0.909 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77 Ldr
GAA
2.78
0.870
Save %
Ldr 0.909
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
SENATORS
0%
KRAKEN
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
SEA By 1 goal
12.1%
SEA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
OTT @ SEA
7 - 4
Oct 16, 2025
SEA @ OTT
3 - 4
Dec 17, 2024
OTT @ SEA
3 - 0
Nov 2, 2024
SEA @ OTT
0 - 3
Jan 4, 2024
OTT @ SEA
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+29.6% more
Ottawa: 4.9
vs
Seattle: 3.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.5% more
Ottawa: 32.8
vs
Seattle: 25.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+15.1%
Ottawa: 62.7%
vs
Seattle: 47.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.0% more
Seattle: 21.2
vs
Ottawa: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.0
3
OTT Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.5 / 21.2
18.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
62.7 / 47.6
54.2 / 45.8
Hits
26.4 / 28.5
19.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
17.7 / 17.6
50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
32.8 / 25.7
23.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 3.8
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
SEA
OTT
SEA
ML
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
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