PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

2-2-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Oct 16 • 10:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

1-2-1  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Arturs Silovs
GOALTENDER

Arturs Silovs

#37 | Goaltender
@
Anton Forsberg
GOALTENDER

Anton Forsberg

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Arturs Silovs None-None 2.00 0.938 --
Anton Forsberg None-None 3.06 0.880 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.06
0.938 Ldr Save % 0.880
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
PENGUINS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
PenguinsPIT (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Penguins Cover

69.1%

Kings Cover

30.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

PIT By 1 goal

19.7%

PIT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
PITTSBURGH
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
PITTSBURGH
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Penguins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Penguins (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 LA @ PIT 3 - 2
Oct 16, 2025 PIT @ LA 4 - 2
Jan 20, 2025 PIT @ LA 5 - 1
Dec 17, 2024 LA @ PIT 2 - 3
Feb 18, 2024 LA @ PIT 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +35.2% more
Pittsburgh: 19.9 vs Los Angeles: 12.9
Takeaways (L5) +48.8% more
Los Angeles: 5.4 vs Pittsburgh: 3.6
Hits (L5) +36.3% more
Los Angeles: 25.4 vs Pittsburgh: 18.6
Power Play % (L5) +25.5%
Los Angeles: 33.4% vs Pittsburgh: 7.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PIT Score 3.0 4
LA Score 2.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.9 / 19.9 10.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 49.5 / 49.3 61.0 / 39.0
Hits 25.4 / 18.6 23.0 / 13.0
Power Play % 33.4 / 7.8 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 29.9 / 25.9 32.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 5.4 / 3.6 3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
73%MONEY27%