NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
2-3-0 | Road
1
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
2-2-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 1.97 | 0.917 | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 0.99 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.97
GAA
Ldr 0.99
0.917
Save %
Ldr 0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
RANGERS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
6.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
TOR By 1 goal
0.9%
TOR By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
8
NEW YORK
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
NYR @ TOR
3 - 4
Mar 5, 2026
TOR @ NYR
2 - 6
Oct 16, 2025
NYR @ TOR
1 - 2
Mar 20, 2025
TOR @ NYR
4 - 3
Feb 28, 2025
TOR @ NYR
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+7.5%
New York: 8.0%
vs
Toronto: 0.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.7% more
Toronto: 17.1
vs
New York: 13.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Toronto: 54.8%
vs
New York: 53.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
8.0
1
TOR Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.1 / 13.8
13.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
54.8 / 53.1
47.3 / 52.7
Hits
24.3 / 23.1
18.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
0.5 / 8.0
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 30.5
24.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.3
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
NYR
TOR
NYR
ML
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
0%
0-4
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
TTL
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Nashville Predators' Early Season: Three Burning Questions After…