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SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

2-0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Oct 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

2-1-0  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Joey Daccord
GOALTENDER

Joey Daccord

#35 | Goaltender
@
Sam Montembeault
GOALTENDER

Sam Montembeault

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joey Daccord None-None 4.73 0.773 --
Sam Montembeault None-None 3.80 0.818 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.73 GAA Ldr 3.80
0.773 Save % Ldr 0.818
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
📊
CANADIENS
0%
KRAKEN --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
KrakenSEA (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kraken Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

SEA By 1 goal

12.1%

SEA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SEATTLE
3
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
SEATTLE
3
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canadiens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canadiens (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 28, 2025 MTL @ SEA 4 - 3
Oct 14, 2025 SEA @ MTL 4 - 5
Mar 12, 2025 MTL @ SEA 4 - 5
Oct 29, 2024 SEA @ MTL 8 - 2
Mar 24, 2024 MTL @ SEA 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +6.4%
Montreal: 20.3% vs Seattle: 13.9%
Faceoff % (L5) +1.6%
Montreal: 51.1% vs Seattle: 49.5%
Blocked Shots (L5) +52.1% more
Seattle: 23.3 vs Montreal: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 2.0 4
MTL Score 3.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.2 / 23.3 23.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 51.1 / 49.5 56.3 / 43.8
Hits 25.8 / 26.8 25.0 / 32.0
Power Play % 20.3 / 13.9 0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 25.8 / 27.5 22.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 3.4 / 3.2 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
SEA
MTL
SEA
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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