ARMY
ARMYARMY
3-3 | Road
17
TULANE
TULANETULN
5-1 | Home
24
Key Game
KEY GAME
Dawson Jones
#95 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
Armondous Cooley
#92 | Defensive Lineman| Player | |
|---|---|
| Dawson Jones | None-None |
| Armondous Cooley | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
ARMY
0%
TULANE
100%
ARMY
--
TULANE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
50.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ARMY -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
ARMY By 1-6 points
3.8%
ARMY By 7-13 points
8.8%
TULN By 1-6 points
1.4%
TULN By 7-13 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
39
ARMY
Tulane
11
TULANE
Simulated Score
Army
27
ARMY
Tulane
17
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Army
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Army
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Army (-10)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Sim
Army (-10)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o45.5
Loss
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Sim
u45.5
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 18, 2025
ARMY @ TULN
17 - 24
Dec 6, 2024
TULN @ ARMY
14 - 35
Nov 14, 2020
ARMY @ TULN
12 - 38
Oct 5, 2019
TULN @ ARMY
42 - 33
Sep 23, 2017
ARMY @ TULN
17 - 21
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+45.1% more
Army: 280.5
vs
Tulane: 154.0
Total Yards (L5)
+18.7% more
Tulane: 407.1
vs
Army: 343.0
First Downs (L5)
+15.7% more
Tulane: 21.9
vs
Army: 19.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
39.0
17
TULN Score
11.0
24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.9 / 19.0
23.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards
154.0 / 280.5
141.0 / 233.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.55 / 0.4
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.6
0.35 / 0.65
Total Yards
407.1 / 343.0
402.0 / 358.0
Turnovers
1.1 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 13.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
TULN
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
Advantage
1-2-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 13.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
TULN
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
TULN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
ARMY
TULN
ARMY
ML
100%
4-0
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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