Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Temple @ Charlotte TEM @ CLT

TEMPLE

TEMPLETEM

3-3  |  Road

49
FINAL
Sat, Oct 18 • 3:30 PM ET
Jerry Richardson Stadium
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

CHARLOTTECLT

1-5  |  Home

14
Key Game
Dante Atton
KEY GAME

Dante Atton

#7 | Punter
@
Bronson Long
KEY GAME

Bronson Long

#95 | Punter
Player
Dante Atton None-None
Bronson Long None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TEMPLE
100%
📊
CHARLOTTE
0%
TEMPLE --
CHARLOTTE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Charlotte)
TempleTEM (-3.5) 0 CharlotteCLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Temple Cover

30.9%

Charlotte Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CLT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)

TEM By 1-6 points

12.9%

TEM By 7-13 points

9.6%

CLT By 1-6 points

16.5%

CLT By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
39
TEMPLE
46
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
20
TEMPLE
24
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Charlotte Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Charlotte Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Charlotte (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim Charlotte (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 85.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 18, 2025 TEM @ CLT 49 - 14
Sep 24, 2016 CLT @ TEM 20 - 48
Oct 2, 2015 TEM @ CLT 37 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +151.0% more
Charlotte: 2.0 vs Temple: 0.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +38.3% more
Temple: 154.1 vs Charlotte: 95.1
Total Yards (L5) +26.0% more
Temple: 385.4 vs Charlotte: 285.0
First Downs (L5) +16.9% more
Temple: 20.1 vs Charlotte: 16.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEM Score 39.0 49
CLT Score 46.0 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.7 / 20.1 21.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 95.1 / 154.1 199.0 / 172.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.22
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards 285.0 / 385.4 357.0 / 384.0
Turnovers 2.0 / 0.5 3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
CLT
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -23.4 ATS +/-: -9.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM Advantage
4-0-1 (100.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
CLT
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -23.4 ATS +/-: -9.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +0.9
CLT
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
TEM
CLT
TEM
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
TTL
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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