COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
2-0-1 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
0-2-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 1.00 | 0.964 | -- |
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 3.09 | 0.919 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.09
0.964 Ldr
Save %
0.919
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
SABRES
0%
AVALANCHE
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
COL By 1 goal
6.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
BUF By 1 goal
17.5%
BUF By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
1
COLORADO
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
BUF @ COL
3 - 6
Oct 13, 2025
COL @ BUF
3 - 1
Jan 2, 2025
BUF @ COL
5 - 6
Dec 3, 2024
COL @ BUF
5 - 4
Dec 13, 2023
BUF @ COL
1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+50.1% more
Colorado: 3.6
vs
Buffalo: 1.8
Power Play % (L5)
+17.7%
Colorado: 19.2%
vs
Buffalo: 1.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.8%
Colorado: 51.9%
vs
Buffalo: 40.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
1.0
3
BUF Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 14.2
11.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
40.1 / 51.9
43.5 / 56.5
Hits
25.9 / 24.4
11.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
153.0 / 1924.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.4 / 30.7
28.0 / 37.0
Takeaways
1.8 / 3.6
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
COL
BUF
COL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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