DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
1-1-0 | Road
3
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
1-1-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 3.05 | 0.800 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.05
--
Save %
0.800
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
RED WINGS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
19.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
29.6%
TOR By 1 goal
12.1%
TOR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Toronto
2
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
DET @ TOR
2 - 1
Dec 28, 2025
TOR @ DET
2 - 3
Oct 13, 2025
DET @ TOR
3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025
TOR @ DET
3 - 6
Oct 4, 2025
TOR @ DET
5 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+23.8%
Detroit: 24.9%
vs
Toronto: 1.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.0% more
Detroit: 32.3
vs
Toronto: 24.9
Takeaways (L5)
+14.5% more
Detroit: 3.1
vs
Toronto: 2.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+37.5% more
Toronto: 18.5
vs
Detroit: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
3
TOR Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.5 / 13.5
10.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
54.8 / 54.9
60.7 / 39.3
Hits
27.9 / 22.0
22.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
1.1 / 24.9
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
24.9 / 32.3
40.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
2.7 / 3.1
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
DET
TOR
DET
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
4-0
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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