FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
3-0-0 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
0-1-1 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Garnet Hathaway
#21 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garnet Hathaway | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.00 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
FLYERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
FLA By 1 goal
0.0%
FLA By 2-3 goals
0.0%
PHI By 1 goal
0.0%
PHI By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
1
FLORIDA
Philadelphia
10
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -9.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
PHI @ FLA
4 - 2
Oct 13, 2025
FLA @ PHI
2 - 5
Oct 9, 2025
PHI @ FLA
1 - 2
Jan 13, 2025
FLA @ PHI
3 - 4
Dec 5, 2024
FLA @ PHI
7 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+42.6% more
Philadelphia: 14.5
vs
Florida: 10.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.8%
Philadelphia: 54.9%
vs
Florida: 45.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+9.1% more
Philadelphia: 3.2
vs
Florida: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+33.2% more
Florida: 32.4
vs
Philadelphia: 21.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
1.0
2
PHI Score
10.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.5 / 10.2
14.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.9 / 45.2
49.0 / 51.0
Hits
22.2 / 25.9
8.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
13.3 / 44.4
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
21.7 / 32.4
22.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 3.0
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
FLA
PHI
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
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