ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-1-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Oct 11 • 4:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

1-1-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 2.00 0.931 --
Dustin Wolf None-None 4.23 0.857 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 4.23
0.931 Ldr Save % 0.857
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
FLAMES
100%
BLUES --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

69.1%

Flames Cover

30.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

19.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

CGY By 1 goal

12.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
CALGARY
Simulated Score
3
ST. LOUIS
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 18, 2026 STL @ CGY 1 - 2
Nov 11, 2025 CGY @ STL 2 - 3
Oct 11, 2025 STL @ CGY 4 - 2
Jan 16, 2025 CGY @ STL 1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025 CGY @ STL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +28.4% more
St. Louis: 38.2 vs Calgary: 27.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +22.9% more
St. Louis: 17.5 vs Calgary: 13.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +17.2% more
St. Louis: 25.9 vs Calgary: 21.5
Takeaways (L5) +17.0% more
Calgary: 3.4 vs St. Louis: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.0 4
CGY Score 2.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.5 / 17.5 21.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 53.2 / 47.1 41.0 / 59.0
Hits 27.3 / 38.2 22.0 / 29.0
Power Play % 17.4 / 1.0 16.7 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 21.5 / 25.9 29.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 3.4 / 2.9 7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
78%MONEY22%