MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
2-0 | Road
127
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
2-0 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
BULLS
100%
BUCKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
27.1%
MIL By 8-14 points
19.5%
CHI By 1-7 points
22.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
11.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
119.56
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
116.98
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
105
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.6
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 236.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
MIL @ CHI
97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026
CHI @ MIL
115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025
MIL @ CHI
112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ MIL
110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025
MIL @ CHI
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Milwaukee: 42.2%
vs
Chicago: 32.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+30.8% more
Chicago: 19.8
vs
Milwaukee: 15.1
Steals (L5)
+30.5% more
Chicago: 10.2
vs
Milwaukee: 7.8
Rebounding (L5)
+28.1% more
Chicago: 50.8
vs
Milwaukee: 39.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
119.6
127
CHI Score
117.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 42.2
26.8 / 41.7
Assists
28.6 / 24.0
30.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.4
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 46.4
47.7 / 48.4
Free Throw %
73.1 / 73.8
72.2 / 73.9
Rebounding
50.8 / 39.7
45.0 / 49.0
Steals
10.2 / 7.8
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
19.8 / 15.1
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIL
CHI
MIL
ML
56%
54-42
64%
61-35
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
ATS
65%
62-33-1
68%
65-31
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
56-40
55%
53-43
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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