Home / NFL Projections NFL / Titans @ Raiders TEN @ LV

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

1-4  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sun, Oct 12 • 4:05 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
View Odds Details →

LAS VEGAS

RAIDERSLV

1-4  |  Home

20
Key Game
Dorian Mausi
KEY GAME

Dorian Mausi

#54 | Linebacker
@
AJ Cole
KEY GAME

AJ Cole

#6 | Punter
Player
Dorian Mausi None-None
AJ Cole None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
TITANS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
30.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LAS VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Las Vegas)
TitansTEN (-3.5) 0 RaidersLV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

38.8%

Raiders Cover

61.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LV -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LV)

TEN By 1-6 points

14.7%

TEN By 7-13 points

12.1%

LV By 1-6 points

17.0%

LV By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
13
TENNESSEE
17
LAS VEGAS
Simulated Score
20
TENNESSEE
24
LAS VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 30.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 12, 2025 TEN @ LV 10 - 20
Sep 25, 2022 LV @ TEN 22 - 24
Dec 8, 2019 TEN @ LV 42 - 21
Sep 10, 2017 LV @ TEN 26 - 16
Sep 25, 2016 LV @ TEN 17 - 10
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +44.1% more
Las Vegas: 123.6 vs Tennessee: 85.7
Turnovers (L5) +35.1% more
Las Vegas: 2.0 vs Tennessee: 1.5
Yards Per Play (L5) +21.7% more
Las Vegas: 5.3 vs Tennessee: 4.4
Total Yards (L5) +20.0% more
Las Vegas: 318.5 vs Tennessee: 265.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEN Score 13.0 10
LV Score 17.0 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.9 / 16.6 16.0 / 15.0
Net Passing Yards 194.9 / 179.7 158.0 / 160.0
Rushing Yards 123.6 / 85.7 68.0 / 65.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.46 / 0.23
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 318.5 / 265.4 226.0 / 225.0
Turnovers 2.0 / 1.5 1.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 4.4 4.0 / 3.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
LV Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
LV Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
LV
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LV
TEN
LV
TEN
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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