PHILADELPHIA
EAGLESPHI
4-1 | Road
17
NEW YORK
GIANTSNYG
1-4 | Home
34
Key Game
KEY GAME
Braden Mann
#10 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Gunner Olszewski
#80 | Wide Receiver| Player | |
|---|---|
| Braden Mann | None-None |
| Gunner Olszewski | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
GIANTS
0%
EAGLES
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
54.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)
PHI By 1-6 points
7.9%
PHI By 7-13 points
4.7%
NYG By 1-6 points
12.9%
NYG By 7-13 points
19.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
20
PHILADELPHIA
New York
34
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
17
PHILADELPHIA
New York
27
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Giants (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 54.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 26, 2025
NYG @ PHI
20 - 38
Oct 9, 2025
PHI @ NYG
17 - 34
Jan 5, 2025
NYG @ PHI
13 - 20
Oct 20, 2024
PHI @ NYG
28 - 3
Jan 7, 2024
PHI @ NYG
10 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+200.0% more
New York: 2.2
vs
Philadelphia: 0.2
Rushing Yards (L5)
+33.1% more
New York: 124.9
vs
Philadelphia: 93.8
First Downs (L5)
+15.3% more
New York: 20.1
vs
Philadelphia: 17.4
Total Yards (L5)
+12.3% more
New York: 311.2
vs
Philadelphia: 277.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
20.0
17
NYG Score
34.0
34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
20.1 / 17.4
25.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards
186.3 / 183.2
194.0 / 266.0
Rushing Yards
124.9 / 93.8
172.0 / 73.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.3
0.69 / 0.11
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards
311.2 / 277.1
366.0 / 339.0
Turnovers
2.2 / 0.2
0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play
4.8 / 4.7
5.5 / 6.1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: -0.1
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
PHI
NYG
PHI
ML
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
ATS
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
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